GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Liga 2 · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Persipura Jayapura · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Persipura Jayapura 1-1 Persis Solo

Original prediction

Persipura Jayapura

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8448.6%37.6%-11.0 pts
Draw3.4525.9%28.4%2.6 pts
Away3.4925.5%34.0%8.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Persipura Jayapura

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Persipura Jayapura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Persipura JayapuraDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Persis SoloWLWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Persipura JayapuraPersis Solo
38.9Attack100.0
61.1Defence66.7
46.3Form50.0
51.1Power62.7
1.09xG1.18
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