Persiku Kudusvs
Semen Padang
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Semen Padang · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persiku Kudus 1-2 Semen Padang
Original prediction
Semen Padang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25.33 | 3.6% | 18.4% | 14.8 pts |
| Draw | 9.87 | 9.3% | 22.8% | 13.6 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 87.2% | 58.8% | -28.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–213%
Predicted outcome
Semen Padang
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Semen Padang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 20 · avg 0.60/4.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00