Persik Kedirivs
PSS Sleman
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/22/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persik Kediri · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persik Kediri 2-1 PSS Sleman
Original prediction
Persik Kediri
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 46.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 26.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 23.9% | 26.8% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Persik Kediri
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Persik Kediri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80