Persik Kedirivs
Persepam Madura Utd
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/9/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persepam Madura Utd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persik Kediri 2-0 Persepam Madura Utd
Original prediction
Persepam Madura Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.9% | 33.0% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.9% | 39.4% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Persepam Madura Utd
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Persepam Madura Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80