Persik Kedirivs
Dewa United
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/5/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dewa United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persik Kediri 0-1 Dewa United
Original prediction
Dewa United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 31.1% | 36.7% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 22.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.1% | 40.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Dewa United
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Dewa United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40