Persijavs
Persik Kediri
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persija 2-1 Persik Kediri
Original prediction
Persija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.3% | 57.5% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.2% | 23.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 6.69 | 13.6% | 18.9% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Persija
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Persija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PersijaWLWWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Persik KediriWLWDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PersijaPersik Kediri
77.8Attack38.9
83.3Defence77.8
88.9Form55.6
82.7Power58.9
1.61xG0.77