Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persija 3-1 Arema FC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 08:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PersijaLWDL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Arema FCLWWLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PersijaArema FC
66.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence60.0
46.7Form40.0
55.4Power46.4
1.68xG1.04