GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Piala Presiden · 7/24/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arema FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Persija Jakarta are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arema FC are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Arema FC hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (36.3 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Piala Presiden, while Arema FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arema FC

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Arema FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Persija JakartaWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Arema FCW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Persija JakartaArema FC
33.3Attack33.3
40.0Defence60.0
26.7Form40.0
36.3Power46.4
1.13xG1.26
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