Persiba Balikpapanvs
Tornado Pekanbaru
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tornado Pekanbaru · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persiba Balikpapan 0-3 Tornado Pekanbaru
Original prediction
Tornado Pekanbaru
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.22 | 9.8% | 21.2% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.74 | 19.1% | 25.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.27 | 71.1% | 53.4% | -17.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Tornado Pekanbaru
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Tornado Pekanbaru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40