Persiba Balikpapanvs
Persela Lamongan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persela Lamongan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Persiba Balikpapan 0-1 Persela Lamongan, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Persiba Balikpapan 0-1 Persela Lamongan
Original prediction
Persela Lamongan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.92 | 18.3% | 15.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.6% | 25.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.1% | 58.7% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Persiba Balikpapan 0–1 Persela Lamongan
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Persela Lamongan
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Persela Lamongan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40