Persiba Balikpapanvs
Dejan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dejan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persiba Balikpapan 0-1 Dejan
Original prediction
Dejan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 24.6% | 33.7% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 27.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 48.7% | 39.0% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Dejan
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Dejan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Persiba BalikpapanLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DejanDLLLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Persiba BalikpapanDejan
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form16.7
26.7Power36.5
1.45xG1.41