Persib Bandungvs
PSM Makassar
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persib Bandung · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persib Bandung 3-1 PSM Makassar
Original prediction
Persib Bandung
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.9% | 62.2% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.9% | 21.9% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 7.45 | 12.2% | 16.0% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Persib Bandung
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Persib Bandung has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00