Persepolis FCvs
Sanat Naft
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persepolis FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Persepolis FC 1-0 Sanat Naft, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Persepolis FC 3-1 Sanat Naft
Original prediction
Persepolis FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.8% | 53.8% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 18.8% | 26.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 9.65 | 9.4% | 19.9% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.0 pts
Projected Score
Persepolis FC 1–0 Sanat Naft
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Persepolis FC
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Persepolis FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40