Persepam Madura Utdvs
PSIM Yogyakarta
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persepam Madura Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persepam Madura Utd 2-1 PSIM Yogyakarta
Original prediction
Persepam Madura Utd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.0% | 48.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 26.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.5% | 25.2% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Persepam Madura Utd
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Persepam Madura Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20