GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Liga 1 · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Persepam Madura Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Persepam Madura Utd 2-0 Persijap

Original prediction

Persepam Madura Utd

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9347.0%56.9%9.9 pts
Draw3.2328.1%24.3%-3.8 pts
Away3.6524.9%18.7%-6.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.2–012%

Predicted outcome

Persepam Madura Utd

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Persepam Madura Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Persepam Madura UtdWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PersijapDDWLL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Persepam Madura UtdPersijap
55.3Attack30.4
53.5Defence55.9
53.5Form35.3
55.1Power42.4
1.63xG0.74
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