GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Piala Presiden · 7/21/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Persepam Madura Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Persepam Madura Utd are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Persija Jakarta are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Persija Jakarta hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Piala Presiden, while Persepam Madura Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Persepam Madura Utd

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Persepam Madura Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Persepam Madura UtdW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Persija JakartaWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Persepam Madura UtdPersija Jakarta
44.4Attack33.3
0.0Defence40.0
33.3Form26.7
29.5Power36.3
1.64xG1.31
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