Persepam Madura Utdvs
Persib Bandung
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persib Bandung · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persepam Madura Utd 1-0 Persib Bandung
Original prediction
Persib Bandung
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.46 | 20.3% | 36.0% | 15.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.5% | 25.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 54.2% | 38.9% | -15.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Persib Bandung
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Persib Bandung has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80