GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Piala Presiden · 7/26/2024, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arema FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Persepam Madura Utd are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Arema FC are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arema FC hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Piala Presiden, while Arema FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arema FC

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

Arema FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Persepam Madura UtdWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Arema FCDW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Persepam Madura UtdArema FC
44.4Attack33.3
0.0Defence60.0
33.3Form40.0
29.5Power46.4
1.29xG1.35
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