Persela Lamonganvs
Deltras
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persela Lamongan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persela Lamongan 1-1 Deltras
Original prediction
Persela Lamongan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.1% | 39.4% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.8% | 28.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.1% | 31.8% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Persela Lamongan
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Persela Lamongan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80