Piala Presiden
Persebaya Surabaya
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Port FC
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
The model projects 1.56 xG for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.54 xG for Port FC — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.02), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.10 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesPersebaya SurabayaProbability breakdown
Persebaya Surabaya leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Persebaya Surabaya Narrow Edge — Model Projects 2-1
Persebaya Surabaya take on Port FC in Piala Presiden.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Persebaya Surabaya hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Persebaya Surabaya.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Persebaya Surabaya, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Port FC score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.02 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
Recent form
Persebaya Surabaya
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
GoalVio's model predicts Persebaya Surabaya to win with 37% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Persebaya Surabaya vs Port FC?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.