Pergolettesevs
Union Brescia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/16/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pergolettese are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union Brescia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60