GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/27/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Triestina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TriestinaLLLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PergoletteseTriestina
38.6Attack53.5
56.1Defence61.4
39.5Form56.1
45.8Power58.1
0.92xG1.33
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