GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/26/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Triestina are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Triestina

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TriestinaLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseTriestina
38.6Attack53.5
56.1Defence61.4
39.5Form56.1
45.8Power58.1
0.92xG1.33
View match centre →