Pergolettesevs
Triestina
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/19/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Triestina · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Triestina are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Triestina hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Triestina holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Triestina
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Triestina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50