GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/13/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Trento are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Trento hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TrentoWDDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseTrento
38.6Attack29.8
56.1Defence67.5
39.5Form44.7
45.8Power49.2
0.80xG0.72
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