Pergolettesevs
Renate
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/16/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Renate are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.8 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00