GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/4/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Pro Sesto are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseWLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Pro SestoLLL

GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/3.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 3/3
PergolettesePro Sesto
38.6Attack21.9
56.1Defence64.9
39.5Form30.7
45.8Power41.5
0.88xG0.57
View match centre →