GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/3/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseWWLDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PadovaWWDWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PergolettesePadova
38.6Attack48.2
56.1Defence75.4
39.5Form67.5
45.8Power64.8
0.57xG1.23
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