Pergolettesevs
Novara
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/24/2024, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novara are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.8 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80