Pergolettesevs
Mantova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/9/2024, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60