GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/9/2024, 3:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MantovaWDDWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseMantova
38.6Attack63.2
56.1Defence72.8
39.5Form70.2
45.8Power68.8
0.63xG1.63
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