GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LumezzaneDDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PergoletteseLumezzane
38.6Attack43.0
56.1Defence57.9
39.5Form46.5
45.8Power50.8
1.03xG1.05
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