Pergolettesevs
Lumezzane
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pergolettese are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lumezzane are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60