Pergolettesevs
Lumezzane
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/13/2025, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pergolettese are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lumezzane are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lumezzane hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20