GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/28/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Legnago Salus are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Legnago Salus hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLLWWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Legnago SalusLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PergoletteseLegnago Salus
38.6Attack40.4
56.1Defence65.8
39.5Form49.1
45.8Power53.5
0.83xG0.99
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