GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/23/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Giana ErminioWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PergoletteseGiana Erminio
38.6Attack40.4
56.1Defence61.4
39.5Form46.5
45.8Power50.7
0.94xG0.98
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