Pergolettesevs
Folgore Caratese
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Folgore Caratese are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Folgore Caratese hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50