GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/14/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pergolettese

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FiorenzuolaDWDWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseFiorenzuola
38.6Attack33.3
56.1Defence45.6
39.5Form33.3
45.8Power39.9
1.37xG0.79
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