Pergolettesevs
Fiorenzuola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/14/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pergolettese
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00