PergolettesevsDesenzano Calvina

Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Desenzano Calvina are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.