GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/7/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Clodiense are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pergolettese

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ClodienseWLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseClodiense
38.6Attack29.8
56.1Defence41.2
39.5Form18.4
45.8Power32.5
1.52xG0.69
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