Pergolettesevs
Cittadella
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2025, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cittadella hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20