Pergolettesevs
Caldiero Terme
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/30/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Pergolettese are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pergolettese
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20