GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/30/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pergolettese

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Caldiero TermeLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseCaldiero Terme
38.6Attack34.2
56.1Defence43.9
39.5Form28.9
45.8Power38.1
1.43xG0.80
View match centre →