GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta II hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atalanta IIWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseAtalanta II
38.6Attack37.7
56.1Defence68.4
39.5Form51.8
45.8Power54.4
0.76xG0.93
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