Pergolettesevs
Alessandria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/1/2024, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pergolettese
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40