GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/1/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pergolettese · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pergolettese hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Pergolettese holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pergolettese

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Pergolettese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseWWLLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AlessandriaLWLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseAlessandria
38.6Attack17.5
56.1Defence57.9
39.5Form20.2
45.8Power34.3
1.08xG0.56
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