GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/11/2027, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlcioneLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PergoletteseAlcione
38.6Attack28.9
56.1Defence67.5
39.5Form41.2
45.8Power47.9
0.80xG0.70
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