GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/16/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alcione are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PergoletteseDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlcioneLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseAlcione
38.6Attack28.9
56.1Defence67.5
39.5Form41.2
45.8Power47.9
0.80xG0.70
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