Pergolettesevs
Albinoleffe
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/20/2024, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Pergolettese are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Albinoleffe hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20