Perez Zeledonvs
Sporting San Jose
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Primera División · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting San Jose · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Perez Zeledon 0-1 Sporting San Jose, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Perez Zeledon 1-2 Sporting San Jose
Original prediction
Sporting San Jose
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.5% | 17.8% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 24.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.3% | 57.8% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Projected Score
Perez Zeledon 0–1 Sporting San Jose
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sporting San Jose
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Sporting San Jose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60