GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Perez Zeledon 0-1 LD Alajuelense, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Perez Zeledon 1-1 LD Alajuelense

Original prediction

LD Alajuelense

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.8523.6%23.8%0.1 pts
Draw3.4026.8%27.3%0.5 pts
Away1.8449.6%48.9%-0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.7 pts

Projected Score

Perez Zeledon 0–1 LD Alajuelense

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

LD Alajuelense

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Perez ZeledonLLDWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LD AlajuelenseWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Perez ZeledonLD Alajuelense
13.3Attack53.3
53.3Defence73.3
26.7Form66.7
34.0Power65.7
0.76xG1.38
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