Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PEPO · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PEPO are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kiffen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kiffen hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while PEPO holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PEPO
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
10.1%
PEPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60