Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PEPO · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
PEPO are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while JJK are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and PEPO hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Suomen Cup, while PEPO holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PEPO
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
9.8%
PEPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00